Are we any closer to the Quantum Apocalypse?
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A skeptical analysis of the urgency around transitioning to post-quantum cryptography (PQC), prompted by a White House Executive Order requiring US federal systems to adopt PQC by 2030-2031. The author argues that while the risk of cryptographically-relevant quantum computers is non-negligible, hardware progress has stalled far behind optimistic roadmaps — Google is at 105 qubits vs. a projected 1,000,000 by 2029, IBM at 156 vs. 100,000 by 2033. The recommendation is to start transitioning now in a measured way (especially for 'store now, decrypt later' threats), but to avoid panic-driven wholesale replacement. Practical advice includes building cryptographic agility, preferring symmetric over public-key crypto where possible, avoiding digital signatures, and reconsidering stateless JWTs.
