--- title: China bets on AI weather forecasting as extreme storms... description: China is racing Western AI labs to build competitive weather forecasting models, with three home-grown systems leading the effort: Fengwu (Shanghai AI... canonical: https://daily.dev/posts/china-bets-on-ai-weather-forecasting-as-extreme-storms-close-in-mdb7de2u9 twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:site: @dailydotdev og:type: website og:site_name: daily.dev og:title: China bets on AI weather forecasting as extreme storms close in | daily.dev og:description: China is racing Western AI labs to build competitive weather forecasting models, with three home-grown systems leading the effort: Fengwu (Shanghai AI... og:url: https://daily.dev/posts/china-bets-on-ai-weather-forecasting-as-extreme-storms-close-in-mdb7de2u9 og:image: https://api.daily.dev/og/posts/MDb7dE2u9.png og:image:alt: China bets on AI weather forecasting as extreme storms close in og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 630 og:locale: en --- > ## Documentation Index > Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://daily.dev/llms.txt > Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further. # China bets on AI weather forecasting as extreme storms close in **[The Next Web](https://daily.dev/sources/tnw)** · 4 min read · 0 upvotes · 0 comments ## Summary China is racing Western AI labs to build competitive weather forecasting models, with three home-grown systems leading the effort: Fengwu (Shanghai AI Laboratory), Pangu (Huawei), and Fuxi (Fudan University). Fengwu reportedly outperformed Google DeepMind's GraphCast on roughly 80% of tested weather variables and predicted Typhoon Dolphin's landfall to within 30 minutes and 30km five days in advance. AI forecasters offer major speed and cost advantages over traditional numerical weather prediction, though they still lag on predicting storm intensity and face challenges with climate conditions outside their training data. The broader competitive landscape includes DeepMind's GenCast, Nvidia-backed FourCastNet, ECMWF's AIFS, and well-funded startups, making weather forecasting an unusually objective benchmark for AI rivalry since forecast accuracy is verifiable against real-world outcomes. ## Full article daily.dev links to this article rather than hosting it. Read it at the original source: ## Questions this post answers ### How accurate was China's Fengwu AI model at predicting Typhoon Dolphin's landfall? Fengwu predicted Typhoon Dolphin's time and place of landfall to within 30 minutes and 30km (about 19 miles), five days before the storm hit the Chinese mainland. The prediction came from Sun Zhi of the firm Techwind and illustrates the model's potential for turning evacuation orders from guesswork into actionable logistics. _Teams building or evaluating AI forecasting systems track competitive benchmarks like these on daily.dev._ ### How does China's Fengwu AI weather model compare to Google DeepMind's GraphCast? Fengwu reportedly outperformed GraphCast across roughly 80% of the weather variables it was tested on and pushed skilful forecasts beyond the ten-day mark traditionally considered the edge of usefulness. These figures are pending independent scrutiny, but if confirmed, they suggest China has closed — and on some measures surpassed — the gap with Western AI weather models. _Developers following the AI weather forecasting race find the latest model comparisons on daily.dev._ ## Similar posts on daily.dev - [Introducing WeatherNext 3, our most advanced and accurate global weather AI model](https://daily.dev/posts/introducing-weathernext-3-our-most-advanced-and-accurate-global-weather-ai-model-0gnv0uaqj) · DeepMind · 0 upvotes · 0 comments - [Google’s new hurricane model was breathtakingly good this season](https://daily.dev/posts/google-s-new-hurricane-model-was-breathtakingly-good-this-season-zio9yzee7) · Ars Technica · 0 upvotes · 0 comments - [NOAA deploys new generation of AI-driven global weather models](https://daily.dev/posts/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models-5un03xczn) · Hacker News · 0 upvotes · 0 comments - [Researchers improve weather forecasts looking two to six weeks out](https://daily.dev/posts/researchers-improve-weather-forecasts-looking-two-to-six-weeks-out-bql5ebjsp) · MIT News · 1 upvotes · 0 comments --- Tags: [#ai](https://daily.dev/tags/ai), [#machine-learning](https://daily.dev/tags/machine-learning) [View this post on daily.dev](https://daily.dev/posts/china-bets-on-ai-weather-forecasting-as-extreme-storms-close-in-mdb7de2u9) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://daily.dev/#organization","name":"daily.dev","url":"https://daily.dev","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://daily.dev/apple-touch-icon.png","width":180,"height":180},"sameAs":["https://twitter.com/dailydotdev","https://github.com/dailydotdev","https://www.linkedin.com/company/daily-dev-ltd"]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https://daily.dev/#website","url":"https://daily.dev","name":"daily.dev","publisher":{"@id":"https://daily.dev/#organization"},"potentialAction":{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https://daily.dev/search?q={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"TechArticle","headline":"China bets on AI weather forecasting as extreme storms close in","url":"https://daily.dev/posts/china-bets-on-ai-weather-forecasting-as-extreme-storms-close-in-mdb7de2u9","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://daily.dev/posts/china-bets-on-ai-weather-forecasting-as-extreme-storms-close-in-mdb7de2u9"},"datePublished":"2026-08-11T14:40:44.828Z","dateModified":"2026-08-11T14:41:10.314Z","description":"China is racing Western AI labs to build competitive weather forecasting models, with three home-grown systems leading the effort: Fengwu (Shanghai AI...","image":"https://media.daily.dev/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/posts/3ef4fb4f3f79b3bce85d4cd186f23f55?_a=AQAEuop","thumbnailUrl":"https://media.daily.dev/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/posts/3ef4fb4f3f79b3bce85d4cd186f23f55?_a=AQAEuop","isAccessibleForFree":true,"articleSection":"The Next Web","inLanguage":"en","publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"daily.dev","url":"https://daily.dev","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://daily.dev/apple-touch-icon.png","width":180,"height":180}},"author":{"@type":"Organization","name":"The Next Web","logo":"https://media.daily.dev/image/upload/t_logo,f_auto/v1/logos/tnw","url":"https://daily.dev/sources/tnw"},"commentCount":0,"discussionUrl":"https://daily.dev/posts/china-bets-on-ai-weather-forecasting-as-extreme-storms-close-in-mdb7de2u9","interactionStatistic":[{"@type":"InteractionCounter","interactionType":{"@type":"LikeAction"},"userInteractionCount":0},{"@type":"InteractionCounter","interactionType":{"@type":"CommentAction"},"userInteractionCount":0}],"keywords":"ai,machine-learning","timeRequired":"PT4M"} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https://daily.dev"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"The Next Web","item":"https://daily.dev/sources/tnw"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"China bets on AI weather forecasting as extreme storms close in"}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"FAQPage","@id":"https://daily.dev/posts/china-bets-on-ai-weather-forecasting-as-extreme-storms-close-in-mdb7de2u9#faq","mainEntity":[{"@type":"Question","name":"How accurate was China's Fengwu AI model at predicting Typhoon Dolphin's landfall?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Fengwu predicted Typhoon Dolphin's time and place of landfall to within 30 minutes and 30km (about 19 miles), five days before the storm hit the Chinese mainland. The prediction came from Sun Zhi of the firm Techwind and illustrates the model's potential for turning evacuation orders from guesswork into actionable logistics. Teams building or evaluating AI forecasting systems track competitive benchmarks like these on daily.dev."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"How does China's Fengwu AI weather model compare to Google DeepMind's GraphCast?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Fengwu reportedly outperformed GraphCast across roughly 80% of the weather variables it was tested on and pushed skilful forecasts beyond the ten-day mark traditionally considered the edge of usefulness. These figures are pending independent scrutiny, but if confirmed, they suggest China has closed — and on some measures surpassed — the gap with Western AI weather models. Developers following the AI weather forecasting race find the latest model comparisons on daily.dev."}}]} ```