--- title: Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed... description: Newly created Polymarket accounts made highly specific, well-timed bets on a US-Iran ceasefire before it was publicly announced, earning hundreds of thousands... canonical: https://daily.dev/posts/newly-created-polymarket-accounts-win-big-on-well-timed-iran-ceasefire-bets-lrta7rsvh twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:site: @dailydotdev og:type: website og:site_name: daily.dev og:title: Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets | daily.dev og:description: Newly created Polymarket accounts made highly specific, well-timed bets on a US-Iran ceasefire before it was publicly announced, earning hundreds of thousands... og:url: https://daily.dev/posts/newly-created-polymarket-accounts-win-big-on-well-timed-iran-ceasefire-bets-lrta7rsvh og:image: https://api.daily.dev/og/posts/lRTa7rsVH.png og:image:alt: Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 630 og:locale: en --- > ## Documentation Index > Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://daily.dev/llms.txt > Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further. # Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets **[Hacker News](https://daily.dev/sources/hn)** · 4 min read · 0 upvotes · 0 comments ## Summary Newly created Polymarket accounts made highly specific, well-timed bets on a US-Iran ceasefire before it was publicly announced, earning hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits. Analysis of public blockchain data via Dune shows at least 50 new wallets placed substantial 'yes' bets before Trump's Truth Social announcement, despite escalatory rhetoric suggesting no deal was imminent. The pattern mirrors previous episodes involving Venezuela and Iran-related events. The incident has reignited calls from Congress and academics to broaden insider trading laws to cover prediction markets, with even Kalshi and Polymarket acknowledging the need for regulation. ## Full article daily.dev links to this article rather than hosting it. Read it at the original source: ## Similar posts on daily.dev - [Polymarket’s $345 million Iran peace bet is stuck because nobody can agree on what “permanent” means](https://daily.dev/posts/polymarket-s-345-million-iran-peace-bet-is-stuck-because-nobody-can-agree-on-what-permanent-means-2tpooigcx) · The Next Web · 0 upvotes · 0 comments - [Polymarket says hackers stole users' funds](https://daily.dev/posts/polymarket-says-hackers-stole-users-funds-t57t1dzov) · TechCrunch · 0 upvotes · 0 comments --- Tags: [#blockchain](https://daily.dev/tags/blockchain) [View this post on daily.dev](https://daily.dev/posts/newly-created-polymarket-accounts-win-big-on-well-timed-iran-ceasefire-bets-lrta7rsvh) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://daily.dev/#organization","name":"daily.dev","url":"https://daily.dev","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://daily.dev/apple-touch-icon.png","width":180,"height":180},"sameAs":["https://twitter.com/dailydotdev","https://github.com/dailydotdev","https://www.linkedin.com/company/daily-dev-ltd"]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https://daily.dev/#website","url":"https://daily.dev","name":"daily.dev","publisher":{"@id":"https://daily.dev/#organization"},"potentialAction":{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https://daily.dev/search?q={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"TechArticle","headline":"Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets","url":"https://daily.dev/posts/newly-created-polymarket-accounts-win-big-on-well-timed-iran-ceasefire-bets-lrta7rsvh","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://daily.dev/posts/newly-created-polymarket-accounts-win-big-on-well-timed-iran-ceasefire-bets-lrta7rsvh"},"datePublished":"2026-04-09T05:21:53.983Z","dateModified":"2026-04-09T05:22:19.248Z","description":"Newly created Polymarket accounts made highly specific, well-timed bets on a US-Iran ceasefire before it was publicly announced, earning hundreds of thousands...","image":"https://media.daily.dev/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/posts/24c967ec884b4e113450771f5aeb30f8?_a=AQAEuop","thumbnailUrl":"https://media.daily.dev/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/posts/24c967ec884b4e113450771f5aeb30f8?_a=AQAEuop","isAccessibleForFree":true,"articleSection":"Hacker News","inLanguage":"en","publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"daily.dev","url":"https://daily.dev","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://daily.dev/apple-touch-icon.png","width":180,"height":180}},"author":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Hacker News","logo":"https://media.daily.dev/image/upload/t_logo,f_auto/v1/logos/hn","url":"https://daily.dev/sources/hn"},"commentCount":0,"discussionUrl":"https://daily.dev/posts/newly-created-polymarket-accounts-win-big-on-well-timed-iran-ceasefire-bets-lrta7rsvh","interactionStatistic":[{"@type":"InteractionCounter","interactionType":{"@type":"LikeAction"},"userInteractionCount":0},{"@type":"InteractionCounter","interactionType":{"@type":"CommentAction"},"userInteractionCount":0}],"keywords":"blockchain","timeRequired":"PT4M"} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https://daily.dev"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Hacker News","item":"https://daily.dev/sources/hn"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets"}]} ```