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# Sherlock Holmes' Abductive Reasoning

**[Tech Lead Digest](https://daily.dev/sources/techleaddigest)** · 9 min read · 2 upvotes · 0 comments

## Summary

Sherlock Holmes is presented as a practitioner of abductive reasoning rather than deduction — inferring the best explanation from surprising evidence and then testing it. The piece explains the three modes of reasoning (deduction, induction, abduction), argues AI excels at the first two but not abduction since it can't generate genuinely new explanations for unpatterned surprises, and offers a four-step method to practice it: notice what doesn't fit, generate multiple explanations, choose the best one, and test it cheaply. Examples include Ignaz Semmelweis's handwashing discovery and an HP laptop sales investigation.

## Full article

daily.dev links to this article rather than hosting it. Read it at the original source: <https://www.philmckinney.com/how-to-improve-your-abductive-reasoning-skills-the-sherlock-holmes-method>

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