Something Is Changing in the Unit Economics of Software

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AI is fundamentally eroding the high-margin economics that defined SaaS for 15 years. Traditional software had near-zero marginal cost per user, enabling 75-85% gross margins. AI-native products require LLM inference calls per user interaction, introducing real per-unit costs that scale with usage. Survey data from ICONIQ shows average gross margins on AI products at ~52% in 2026, well below SaaS norms. This forces a rethink of the classic SaaS playbook: aggressive customer acquisition justified by improving unit economics no longer holds when each customer carries ongoing compute costs. Usage-based pricing is emerging as the rational response to variable cost-to-serve. While inference costs are falling, Jevons paradox suggests cheaper calls lead to more calls per user rather than margin improvement. The new playbook resembles capital-efficient business building: unit economics from day one, pricing that reflects real costs, and growth funded by the business itself.

7m read timeFrom nicolo.xyz
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