--- title: The “Jobs AI Will Replace” Lists Are Finally Old Enough... description: A retrospective grades old 'jobs AI will replace' predictions against reality. The famous claim that radiology would be automated away missed badly: roughly... canonical: https://daily.dev/posts/the-jobs-ai-will-replace-lists-are-finally-old-enough-to-grade-the-most-famous-prediction-missed--eimrofkap twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:site: @dailydotdev og:type: website og:site_name: daily.dev og:title: The “Jobs AI Will Replace” Lists Are Finally Old Enough to Grade. The Most Famous Prediction Missed by $571,000. | daily.dev og:description: A retrospective grades old 'jobs AI will replace' predictions against reality. The famous claim that radiology would be automated away missed badly: roughly... og:url: https://daily.dev/posts/the-jobs-ai-will-replace-lists-are-finally-old-enough-to-grade-the-most-famous-prediction-missed--eimrofkap og:image: https://api.daily.dev/og/posts/eimRofkAP.png og:image:alt: The “Jobs AI Will Replace” Lists Are Finally Old Enough to Grade. The Most Famous Prediction Missed by $571,000. og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 630 og:locale: en --- > ## Documentation Index > Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://daily.dev/llms.txt > Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further. # The “Jobs AI Will Replace” Lists Are Finally Old Enough to Grade. The Most Famous Prediction Missed by $571,000. **[Noor Mohammad](https://daily.dev/sources/ew9hy5zthevyyefagop4g)** · [@noormohammad](https://daily.dev/noormohammad) · 1 min read · 0 upvotes · 0 comments ## Summary A retrospective grades old 'jobs AI will replace' predictions against reality. The famous claim that radiology would be automated away missed badly: roughly 4,333 open US radiologist roles, 130 days average to fill, average salary of $571K (up 9%), Mayo Clinic employing 55% more radiologists than when the prediction was made, and nearly double the med students choosing the specialty since 2020. The original predictor has since conceded. In contrast, predictions about translation work landed fairly accurately, and Klarna's customer-service automation was partially reversed. The piece distills three questions it claims better predict which jobs AI will actually displace than typical listicles. ## Content 2026 scorecard: ~4,333 open US radiologist roles, 130 days average to fill, average salary **$571K** (up 9%), Mayo employing 55% more than when he said it, med students choosing the specialty nearly doubled since 2020. He's since conceded. But the translator prediction from the same era _measurably landed_, and Klarna's customer-service automation partially reversed. The genre is finally old enough to grade — and grading misses against hits yields three questions that predict displacement better than any list. Free, no paywall. 🔗 [https://medium.com/@thebuildersplaybook/the-jobs-ai-will-replace-lists-are-finally-old-enough-to-grade-fe9ac1705e37?sk=5e6d3a619d3291f07fab1b0b279ca216](https://medium.com/@thebuildersplaybook/the-jobs-ai-will-replace-lists-are-finally-old-enough-to-grade-fe9ac1705e37?sk=5e6d3a619d3291f07fab1b0b279ca216) ## Similar posts on daily.dev - [AI and automation could erase 10.4 million US roles by 2030](https://daily.dev/posts/ai-and-automation-could-erase-10-4-million-us-roles-by-2030-qcg3nuj5y) · The Register · 0 upvotes · 0 comments - [Apollo finds AI is hitting paychecks rather than payrolls](https://daily.dev/posts/apollo-finds-ai-is-hitting-paychecks-rather-than-payrolls-wfm8ourkn) · The Next Web · 0 upvotes · 0 comments --- Tags: [#ai](https://daily.dev/tags/ai), [#career](https://daily.dev/tags/career), [#automation](https://daily.dev/tags/automation), [#future-of-work](https://daily.dev/tags/future-of-work) [View this post on daily.dev](https://daily.dev/posts/the-jobs-ai-will-replace-lists-are-finally-old-enough-to-grade-the-most-famous-prediction-missed--eimrofkap) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://daily.dev/#organization","name":"daily.dev","url":"https://daily.dev","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://daily.dev/apple-touch-icon.png","width":180,"height":180},"sameAs":["https://twitter.com/dailydotdev","https://github.com/dailydotdev","https://www.linkedin.com/company/daily-dev-ltd"]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https://daily.dev/#website","url":"https://daily.dev","name":"daily.dev","publisher":{"@id":"https://daily.dev/#organization"},"potentialAction":{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https://daily.dev/search?q={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"DiscussionForumPosting","mainEntityOfPage":"https://daily.dev/posts/the-jobs-ai-will-replace-lists-are-finally-old-enough-to-grade-the-most-famous-prediction-missed--eimrofkap","headline":"The “Jobs AI Will Replace” Lists Are Finally Old Enough to Grade. 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