--- title: Why we won’t see another DeekSeek moment anytime soon description: The DeepSeek moment in January 2025 led markets to believe open-weight models would make compute worthless. Eighteen months later, models like Kimi K3 show the... canonical: https://daily.dev/posts/why-we-won-t-see-another-deekseek-moment-anytime-soon-qogkb2vn7 twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:site: @dailydotdev og:type: website og:site_name: daily.dev og:title: Why we won’t see another DeekSeek moment anytime soon | daily.dev og:description: The DeepSeek moment in January 2025 led markets to believe open-weight models would make compute worthless. Eighteen months later, models like Kimi K3 show the... og:url: https://daily.dev/posts/why-we-won-t-see-another-deekseek-moment-anytime-soon-qogkb2vn7 og:image: https://api.daily.dev/og/posts/QoGkB2VN7.png og:image:alt: Why we won’t see another DeekSeek moment anytime soon og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 630 og:locale: en --- > ## Documentation Index > Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://daily.dev/llms.txt > Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further. # Why we won’t see another DeekSeek moment anytime soon **[Kilo Blog](https://daily.dev/sources/kilo-ai-blog)** · 5 min read · 0 upvotes · 0 comments ## Summary The DeepSeek moment in January 2025 led markets to believe open-weight models would make compute worthless. Eighteen months later, models like Kimi K3 show the opposite: high-intelligence open models demand enormous compute to serve at scale. Moonshot AI's throughput collapsed after K3's launch, pausing new subscriptions. Frontier pricing has dropped 4-5x over three years, but demand grew by orders of magnitude — a classic Jevons paradox. The real scarcity was never the model itself but the compute capacity to serve it. Capacity is also volatile: models can be throttled, pulled by export controls, or repriced with no notice. The strategic response is model routing — staying vendor and provider agnostic so workloads can shift to wherever capacity exists. Another stock-market-collapsing DeepSeek moment is unlikely because cheaper, smarter models only increase compute demand rather than reduce it. ## Full article daily.dev links to this article rather than hosting it. Read it at the original source: ## Similar posts on daily.dev - [DeepSeek V4, Kimi K3, and the Strange New Price of Intelligence](https://daily.dev/posts/deepseek-v4-kimi-k3-and-the-strange-new-price-of-intelligence-ugfsk7yvx) · Medium · 1 upvotes · 0 comments --- Tags: [#llm](https://daily.dev/tags/llm), [#ai-inference](https://daily.dev/tags/ai-inference), [#deepseek](https://daily.dev/tags/deepseek) [View this post on daily.dev](https://daily.dev/posts/why-we-won-t-see-another-deekseek-moment-anytime-soon-qogkb2vn7) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://daily.dev/#organization","name":"daily.dev","url":"https://daily.dev","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://daily.dev/apple-touch-icon.png","width":180,"height":180},"sameAs":["https://twitter.com/dailydotdev","https://github.com/dailydotdev","https://www.linkedin.com/company/daily-dev-ltd"]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https://daily.dev/#website","url":"https://daily.dev","name":"daily.dev","publisher":{"@id":"https://daily.dev/#organization"},"potentialAction":{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https://daily.dev/search?q={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"TechArticle","headline":"Why we won’t see another DeekSeek moment anytime soon","url":"https://daily.dev/posts/why-we-won-t-see-another-deekseek-moment-anytime-soon-qogkb2vn7","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://daily.dev/posts/why-we-won-t-see-another-deekseek-moment-anytime-soon-qogkb2vn7"},"datePublished":"2026-07-21T13:07:34.477Z","dateModified":"2026-07-21T13:08:28.432Z","description":"The DeepSeek moment in January 2025 led markets to believe open-weight models would make compute worthless. 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